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Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia
Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, 15 (2012), 1; 23-36. urn:nbn:hr:213:931255
Botrić, Valerija; Vizek, Maruška

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Botrić, V. i Vizek, M. (2012). Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia. Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, 15. (1), 23-36. Preuzeto s https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:213:931255

Botrić, Valerija i Maruška Vizek. "Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia." Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, vol. 15, br. 1, 2012, str. 23-36. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:213:931255

Botrić, Valerija i Maruška Vizek. "Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia." Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business 15, br. 1 (2012): 23-36. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:213:931255

Botrić, V. i Vizek, M. (2012) 'Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia', Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, 15(1), str. 23-36. Preuzeto s: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:213:931255 (Datum pristupa: 15.11.2024.)

Botrić V, Vizek M. Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia. Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business [Internet]. 01.05.2012. [pristupljeno 15.11.2024.];15(1):23-36. Dostupno na: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:213:931255

V. Botrić i M. Vizek, "Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia", Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, vol. 15, br. 1, str. 23-36, Svibanj 2012. [Online]. Dostupno na: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:213:931255. [Citirano: 15.11.2024.]

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Podaci o radu
Naslov (engleski)Forecasting Fiscal Revenues in a Transition Country: The Case of Croatia
AutorValerija Botrić
AutorMaruška Vizek
Autorova ustanovaEkonomski institut, Zagreb
Znanstveno / umjetničko
područje, polje i grana		DRUŠTVENE ZNANOSTI
Ekonomija
Sažetak (engleski)
In this paper we asses the ability of alternative time series models to produce accurate fi scal revenue forecasts in a transition country and compare them to offi cial forecast. We take on a disaggregated approach and estimate separate models for seven revenue sources. Alternative time series models – trend model, random walk, ARIMA, regression and error correction models – are specifi ed using quarterly data. One - and two - year ahead forecasts are calculated and compared against actual values and offi cial forecasts. Results suggest that despite impediments, econometric methods produce forecasts that are in general more accurate than offi cial forecasts prepared using expert judgment.
Ključne riječi (engleski)
Jezikengleski
Vrsta publikacijeZnanstveni rad - Izvorni znanstveni rad
Status objaveObjavljen
Vrsta recenzijeRecenziran
Verzija publikacijeObjavljena verzija rada (izdavačev PDF)
Naslov časopisaZagreb International Review of Economics & Business
Brojčani podacivol. 15, br. 1, str. 23-36
p-ISSN1331-5609
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:213:931255
Datum objave publikacije2012-05-01
URL dokumentahttps://hrcak.srce.hr/85784
Vrsta resursaTekst
Prava pristupaOtvoreni pristup
Uvjeti korištenjaIkona licence Zaštićeno autorskim pravom.
Datum i vrijeme pohrane2018-10-24 08:54:18